The other thing my theory is based on was an article(or 2) in The Island(http://www.island.lk) I read ,when it was free.Now you have to pay to access the archive .It will be easier to get the data from Education ministry in Sri Lanka anyway.
The article(s) was about how the pass rate in English as a second language declined from early 90's(1992-93?) to late 90's(1997-1998?) .As I remember it was a significant drop from 47% or so to 32% or below 30!.And it was gradual.
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